David M. Weinberg, Director of Public Affairs for the Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies, has published an extraordinarily perceptive analysis of the current “peace process” -- BESA Perspective Paper No. 40, “Shelve the Shelf Agreement.” Here is the Executive Summary:
The newfangled "shelf agreement" concept which now serves as the basis for negotiations between
It incautiously assumes best case scenarios regarding the Palestinians which have no basis in reality; when in fact a durable "final status" agreement must anticipate all worst case scenarios. Furthermore, the historical record shows that even if
Thus, shelf agreement theory is strategically illogical and tactically ill-considered. A performance-based peace process remains the only sustainable model towards a durable final settlement.
Here is just one example of Weinberg’s analysis:
The type of
To simply assume – as the current negotiations do – that the planned Palestinian state will have outstanding, professional, loyal and determined anti-terror fighting convictions, is to flirt with folly.
This is just one example. There are hundreds of similar matters that currently cannot be assessed, because
Weinberg’s paper conclusively demonstrates that the Rice/Livni “peace process” is a substantive and procedural disaster -- even if (perhaps especially if) it “succeeds.”
Tomorrow Rice travels to
(Hat tip: Richard Baehr).